Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
Implied probability 3%
24-hour volume$130
Total volume$222k
Liquidity$17k
Resolves1 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 14 Sept, 11:20 UTC | 3% |
| 14 Sept, 09:25 UTC | 3% |
| 14 Sept, 08:13 UTC | 3% |
| 14 Sept, 07:09 UTC | 3% |
| 14 Sept, 05:32 UTC | 3% |
| 14 Sept, 05:17 UTC | 3% |
| 14 Sept, 04:39 UTC | 3% |
| 14 Sept, 04:29 UTC | 3% |
| 14 Sept, 02:45 UTC | 3% |
| 14 Sept, 00:58 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Sept, 23:20 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Sept, 21:32 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Sept, 19:34 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Sept, 18:04 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Sept, 16:08 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Sept, 15:07 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Sept, 14:14 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Sept, 13:13 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Sept, 11:37 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Sept, 09:30 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Sept, 08:46 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Sept, 07:38 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Sept, 04:19 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Sept, 03:41 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Sept, 03:06 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Sept, 02:52 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Sept, 01:29 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Sept, 00:20 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Sept, 23:57 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Sept, 23:23 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Sept, 22:26 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Sept, 21:44 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Sept, 21:20 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Sept, 20:59 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Sept, 20:14 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 2% |
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Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%
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