Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Implied probability 3%−1
24-hour volume$92k
Total volume$3.8M
Liquidity$226k
Resolves4 Nov 2026
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Steve Hilton wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election. The No outcome applies if any other candidate wins that race. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution, which depends on when three specific news sources call the race or when official certification is complete, rather than Election Day itself.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%