Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$193k
Liquidity$46k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 29 Oct, 02:53 UTC | 0% |
| 28 Oct, 09:31 UTC | 0% |
| 28 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 0% |
| 28 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 0% |
| 28 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Oct, 21:12 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 13:45 UTC | 0% |
| 23 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 0% |
| 23 Oct, 05:39 UTC | 0% |
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What counts
Alphabet must hold the highest global market capitalization at the exact moment the stock market closes on October 31, 2026, for the Yes outcome to occur. The No outcome applies if any other company holds that top spot at that specific time. Readers often mistake the resolution source, assuming a single official report determines the winner rather than a consensus of credible financial reporting.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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