Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
The market favoured No at 77% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$297k
Total volume$302k
Liquidity$406k
Resolved20 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 20 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 26% |
| 20 Sept, 13:43 UTC | 25% |
| 20 Sept, 07:38 UTC | 26% |
| 20 Sept, 07:11 UTC | 25% |
| 19 Sept, 07:11 UTC | 24% |
What counts
The "Yes" outcome occurs if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The "No" outcome applies if one team wins within that same timeframe. Readers often mistake the resolution source, but the official governing body's final result is the only thing that counts for settlement.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →