Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
The market favoured New York Yankees at 55% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$3.5M
Total volume$252k
Liquidity$120k
Resolved29 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 22 Sept, 20:35 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Sept, 19:17 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Sept, 18:45 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Sept, 18:15 UTC | 17% |
| 22 Sept, 17:54 UTC | 46% |
| 22 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 45% |
| 22 Sept, 16:16 UTC | 42% |
| 22 Sept, 14:50 UTC | 46% |
| 22 Sept, 12:11 UTC | 47% |
| 22 Sept, 11:50 UTC | 46% |
| 22 Sept, 06:14 UTC | 46% |
| 22 Sept, 05:48 UTC | 46% |
| 22 Sept, 05:23 UTC | 47% |
| 22 Sept, 04:32 UTC | 46% |
| 22 Sept, 03:09 UTC | 47% |
| 22 Sept, 02:55 UTC | 46% |
| 22 Sept, 00:59 UTC | 47% |
| 22 Sept, 00:26 UTC | 45% |
| 21 Sept, 23:55 UTC | 45% |
| 21 Sept, 22:29 UTC | 46% |
| 21 Sept, 21:09 UTC | 45% |
| 21 Sept, 20:41 UTC | 46% |
| 20 Sept, 20:41 UTC | 43% |
What counts
The market resolves to Tampa Bay Rays if they win the game, and to New York Yankees if they win. If the game is postponed, it stays open until completion; if canceled with no make-up or tied, it splits 50-50. Readers often mistake the uniform reveal date for the resolution deadline.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Tampa Bay Rays 0%
- New York Yankees 100%
View this market on Polymarket →