Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 65m?
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$6k
Total volume$18k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves22 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 2 Nov, 20:08 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 10:34 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 10:04 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 09:48 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 08:50 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 08:26 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 07:51 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 07:26 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 06:51 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 06:11 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 05:22 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 04:21 UTC | 10% |
| 29 Oct, 03:49 UTC | 15% |
| 29 Oct, 03:28 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Oct, 02:35 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 13% |
| 28 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 31% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the domestic opening weekend gross is less than $65 million, and No if it is $65 million or more. Resolution depends on final figures from The Numbers website for the three-day period ending November 22. Readers often mistake studio estimates for the final data that determines the outcome.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%
Trade this market on Polymarket →