Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5
The market favoured Over at 55% a day out, but Under won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$33k
Total volume$43k
Liquidity$112k
Resolved10 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 3 Oct, 23:09 UTC | 0% |
| 3 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 0% |
| 3 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 26% |
| 3 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 54% |
| 3 Oct, 18:23 UTC | 38% |
| 3 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 29% |
| 3 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 53% |
| 3 Oct, 14:20 UTC | 54% |
| 3 Oct, 10:36 UTC | 55% |
| 2 Oct, 21:49 UTC | 56% |
| 2 Oct, 20:18 UTC | 55% |
| 1 Oct, 20:18 UTC | 54% |
What counts
The market resolves to "Over" if the Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians score seven or more runs combined in their game on October 3. It resolves to "Under" if their total runs are fewer than seven. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the resolution depends on when the game ends rather than the official final statistics published by MLB.com.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Over 0%
- Under 100%
View this market on Polymarket →