UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)
Implied probability 53%−1
24-hour volume$8k
Total volume$30k
Liquidity$75k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 53% |
| 31 Oct, 11:13 UTC | 53% |
| 28 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 54% |
| 28 Oct, 11:17 UTC | 53% |
| 28 Oct, 10:23 UTC | 54% |
| 27 Oct, 10:23 UTC | 52% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to Renato Moicano if he is officially declared the winner of the fight against Tom Nolan. It resolves to Tom Nolan if he is officially declared the winner. Readers often mistake the November 14, 2026 postponement deadline for the resolution date instead of the source of truth being the official UFC declaration.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Renato Moicano 53%
- Tom Nolan 48%
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