Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by December 31, 2026?
Implied probability 12%−7
24-hour volume$878
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$11k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 12% |
| 3 Nov, 18:06 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Nov, 17:51 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Nov, 17:03 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Nov, 16:55 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Nov, 15:57 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Nov, 14:53 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Nov, 13:04 UTC | 21% |
| 3 Nov, 12:28 UTC | 20% |
| 3 Nov, 10:38 UTC | 21% |
| 3 Nov, 10:02 UTC | 20% |
| 3 Nov, 07:26 UTC | 20% |
| 3 Nov, 05:54 UTC | 20% |
| 3 Nov, 05:25 UTC | 20% |
| 3 Nov, 04:51 UTC | 20% |
| 3 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 22% |
| 3 Nov, 00:05 UTC | 21% |
| 2 Nov, 22:02 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Nov, 21:12 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Nov, 20:44 UTC | 21% |
| 2 Nov, 20:01 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Nov, 19:47 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Nov, 18:19 UTC | 21% |
| 2 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Nov, 17:26 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Nov, 16:42 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Nov, 16:27 UTC | 21% |
| 2 Nov, 15:56 UTC | 23% |
| 2 Nov, 15:27 UTC | 24% |
| 2 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 23% |
| 2 Nov, 14:26 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Nov, 13:56 UTC | 23% |
| 2 Nov, 13:26 UTC | 24% |
| 2 Nov, 12:56 UTC | 23% |
| 2 Nov, 12:19 UTC | 24% |
| 2 Nov, 11:57 UTC | 21% |
| 2 Nov, 09:39 UTC | 20% |
| 2 Nov, 09:25 UTC | 20% |
| 2 Nov, 08:57 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Nov, 08:29 UTC | 21% |
| 2 Nov, 07:47 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Nov, 07:18 UTC | 20% |
| 2 Nov, 06:56 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Nov, 06:14 UTC | 23% |
| 2 Nov, 05:53 UTC | 23% |
| 2 Nov, 05:24 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 21% |
| 2 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Nov, 03:49 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Nov, 03:28 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 27% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Bogdan Święczkowski officially regains his powers as President of the Constitutional Tribunal and is no longer suspended by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to No if he remains suspended, is permanently removed from office, or fails to regain those powers by the deadline.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 12%
- No 88%
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