Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$109
Total volume$350k
Liquidity$145k
Resolves30 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 22 Sept, 04:14 UTC | 0% |
| 20 Sept, 08:07 UTC | 0% |
| 19 Sept, 14:01 UTC | 0% |
| 19 Sept, 12:58 UTC | 0% |
| 18 Sept, 12:58 UTC | 0% |
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What counts
The market resolves by checking the arena.ai Text Arena leaderboard on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. The outcome depends on which company owns the model ranked highest in the 'Text Arena | Overall' section with style control off. Readers often mistake the resolution source, assuming it relies on general industry reputation or other benchmarks instead of this specific website's data.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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