Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 9% |
| 20 Sept, 19:07 UTC | 9% |
| 20 Sept, 04:40 UTC | 10% |
| 20 Sept, 04:19 UTC | 9% |
| 19 Sept, 09:50 UTC | 10% |
| 19 Sept, 09:25 UTC | 10% |
| 19 Sept, 08:59 UTC | 10% |
| 19 Sept, 08:20 UTC | 10% |
| 18 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 12% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump physically enters North Korea’s land or sea territory between January 1 and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to No if he does not make such a physical entry within that specific window. Readers often mistakenly count flights over the country's airspace as a visit, but only actual entry onto the territory counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 9%
- No 91%
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