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Women’s Ballon d’Or 2026 power rankings: Melchie Dumornay leads open race

Melchie Dumornay tops the early rankings for the award as the competition for the world's best female player remains highly competitive.

1 publisher · 1 article · first seen 1 Oct 2026 · updated 2d ago

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The odds

How the odds moved · Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0%50%100%22%12 Sept, 18:39 UTCnowThe Guardian Sport: Moving the Goalposts | Women’s Ballon d’Or 2026 power rankings: will a new winner be crowned? · 1 Oct, 10:27 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now22%
3 Oct, 06:33 UTC22%
2 Oct, 17:45 UTC23%
26 Sept, 21:24 UTC24%
21 Sept, 20:56 UTC23%
21 Sept, 20:11 UTC22%
21 Sept, 04:50 UTC22%
20 Sept, 11:25 UTC21%
20 Sept, 09:47 UTC21%
20 Sept, 06:31 UTC22%
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20 Sept, 02:14 UTC22%
20 Sept, 00:54 UTC21%
19 Sept, 22:01 UTC22%
15 Sept, 14:53 UTC20%
12 Sept, 18:39 UTC19%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 1 Oct 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 1 October at 10:27 UTC.

2 prediction markets price this story:

  • Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? — the market puts it at 22%, with $21k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 30 May 2027. Barcelona wins if they claim the title in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League. The market resolves to "No" if elimination makes victory impossible or to "Other" if the season ends without a winner by June 19, 2027. Readers often mistake the start of the tournament for the resolution deadline.
  • Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? — the market puts it at 62%, with $4k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 30 May 2027. Yes resolves if Arsenal finishes first in the 2026-27 EPL standings; No resolves if any other team wins or if Arsenal is mathematically eliminated from contention. The market also resolves to Other if the season ends without a winner by June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of who will win the title rather than a binary outcome based on the final standings.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Moving the Goalposts | Women’s Ballon d’Or 2026 power rankings: will a new winner be crowned? The Guardian Sport ·

Markets on this story

  • Polymarket Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? 22% −2 $21k 24hends 30 May 2027

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  • Polymarket Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? 62% $4k 24hends 30 May 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Melchie Dumornay
  • OL Lyonnes
  • Barcelona
  • Arsenal
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