Women’s Ballon d’Or 2026 power rankings: Melchie Dumornay leads open race
Melchie Dumornay tops the early rankings for the award as the competition for the world's best female player remains highly competitive.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 22% |
| 3 Oct, 06:33 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Oct, 17:45 UTC | 23% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 24% |
| 21 Sept, 20:56 UTC | 23% |
| 21 Sept, 20:11 UTC | 22% |
| 21 Sept, 04:50 UTC | 22% |
| 20 Sept, 11:25 UTC | 21% |
| 20 Sept, 09:47 UTC | 21% |
| 20 Sept, 06:31 UTC | 22% |
| 20 Sept, 03:07 UTC | 21% |
| 20 Sept, 02:14 UTC | 22% |
| 20 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 21% |
| 19 Sept, 22:01 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Sept, 14:53 UTC | 20% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 19% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 1 Oct 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 1 October at 10:27 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? — the market puts it at 22%, with $21k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 30 May 2027. Barcelona wins if they claim the title in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League. The market resolves to "No" if elimination makes victory impossible or to "Other" if the season ends without a winner by June 19, 2027. Readers often mistake the start of the tournament for the resolution deadline.
- Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? — the market puts it at 62%, with $4k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 30 May 2027. Yes resolves if Arsenal finishes first in the 2026-27 EPL standings; No resolves if any other team wins or if Arsenal is mathematically eliminated from contention. The market also resolves to Other if the season ends without a winner by June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of who will win the title rather than a binary outcome based on the final standings.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? 22% −2
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- Polymarket Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? 62%
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In this story
- Melchie Dumornay
- OL Lyonnes
- Barcelona
- Arsenal