South Sudan Aid Crisis Deepens as Food Stocks Run Low
More than one million people could lose life-saving aid by October as funding shrinks and arrivals from Sudan continue.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 31% |
| 7 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 31% |
| 6 Oct, 09:48 UTC | 32% |
| 6 Oct, 02:36 UTC | 31% |
| 4 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 33% |
| 30 Sept, 15:31 UTC | 31% |
| 30 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 30% |
| 29 Sept, 21:32 UTC | 35% |
| 29 Sept, 08:13 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Sept, 06:12 UTC | 31% |
| 28 Sept, 05:22 UTC | 29% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 7 Oct 2026. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera published first, on 7 October at 00:13 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- South Sudan — the market puts it at 31%, with $39 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if an official report confirms a human Ebola case in South Sudan between now and January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if no such confirmed case is reported by that deadline. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the start of the reporting period, but only cases officially reported after the market's issuance date count.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Markets on this story
- Kalshi South Sudan 31%
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In this story
- South Sudan
- Sudan