NRL Grand Final: Sydney Roosters to face Newcastle Knights in decider
The two teams meet in the championship match after a long season.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 38% |
| 3 Oct, 11:54 UTC | 38% |
| 3 Oct, 03:06 UTC | 33% |
| 2 Oct, 00:30 UTC | 35% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 21% |
| 28 Sept, 15:41 UTC | 36% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 1 Oct 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 1 October at 15:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Newcastle Knights — the market puts it at 38%, with $109 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 30 Nov 2028. The market resolves to Yes if the Newcastle Knights win the 2026 National Rugby League Championship. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific title. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of their performance in other seasons or tournaments.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Newcastle Knights 38% +3
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In this story
- Sydney Roosters
- Newcastle Knights