Most Americans Say US-Israel War on Iran Not Worth Fighting: Poll
A poll reveals nearly 70 percent of Americans believe the conflict is not worth fighting, marking a significant spike since July.
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 12:49 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 08:22 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Sept, 21:10 UTC | 0% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 1 Oct 2026. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera published first, on 1 October at 20:49 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Iran war and foreign policy — the market puts it at 4%, closing 6 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if voters identify the Iran war and foreign policy as their top priority in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll. It resolves to No if that specific issue does not rank first in those results. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of actual military action or political outcomes rather than voter priorities.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Iran war and foreign policy 4%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Americans
- United States
- Israel
- Iran