France and Germany inch towards grand bargain on EU car regulation
The two nations are negotiating a comprehensive agreement to align their positions on upcoming European Union automotive standards.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 53% |
| 2 Oct, 22:50 UTC | 53% |
| 2 Oct, 21:05 UTC | 53% |
| 2 Oct, 20:52 UTC | 52% |
| 2 Oct, 20:11 UTC | 53% |
| 2 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 52% |
| 2 Oct, 16:37 UTC | 53% |
| 2 Oct, 15:16 UTC | 52% |
| 2 Oct, 14:14 UTC | 53% |
| 2 Oct, 09:04 UTC | 52% |
| 2 Oct, 08:45 UTC | 51% |
| 2 Oct, 06:24 UTC | 50% |
| 2 Oct, 02:49 UTC | 52% |
| 1 Oct, 23:18 UTC | 51% |
| 1 Oct, 22:13 UTC | 52% |
| 1 Oct, 21:03 UTC | 51% |
| 1 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 49% |
| 1 Oct, 05:13 UTC | 48% |
| 30 Sept, 04:19 UTC | 46% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 1 Oct 2026. News Feed published first, on 1 October at 05:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Germany — the market puts it at 53%, with $5k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 6 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Germany wins the UEFA Nations League soccer match against Greece after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The outcome depends solely on the result of this specific game, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Germany 53% +1
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In this story
- France
- Germany