Annie Andrews
Implied probability 14%
24-hour volume$132k
Total volume$1.0M
Liquidity$1.0M
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 14% |
| 26 Sept, 16:48 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 12% |
| 26 Sept, 10:50 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Sept, 00:08 UTC | 14% |
| 25 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 13% |
| 25 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 14% |
| 24 Sept, 18:41 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Sept, 22:12 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Sept, 17:11 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Sept, 15:54 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Sept, 14:40 UTC | 13% |
| 22 Sept, 07:00 UTC | 14% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Democrat takes office as a U.S. Senator from South Carolina starting in 2027. It resolves to No if someone else holds that seat or if no one is sworn in by the term's start. Readers often mistake the current polling lead for the final outcome, but only the official swearing-in matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 14%
- No 86%