Republican party
Implied probability 88%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves7 Nov 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 88% |
| 22 Sept, 11:52 UTC | 88% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
For the outcome "Yes" to resolve, a Republican must be sworn in as a U.S. Senator from Missouri for the term starting in 2029. For the outcome "No," this specific event does not occur within that timeframe. Readers often mistakenly believe that winning an election or being appointed is sufficient, but only the official swearing-in ceremony counts toward resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 88%
- No 12%