Abdul El-Sayed
Implied probability 74%+3
24-hour volume$72k
Total volume$2.2M
Liquidity$2.2M
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 74% |
| 5 Oct, 17:51 UTC | 74% |
| 5 Oct, 17:14 UTC | 73% |
| 5 Oct, 16:33 UTC | 72% |
| 5 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 71% |
| 5 Oct, 09:01 UTC | 72% |
| 5 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 71% |
| 5 Oct, 04:13 UTC | 72% |
| 5 Oct, 03:00 UTC | 71% |
| 4 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 72% |
| 4 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 71% |
| 4 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 72% |
| 4 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 71% |
| 4 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 72% |
| 4 Oct, 07:12 UTC | 71% |
| 4 Oct, 04:45 UTC | 72% |
| 4 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 71% |
| 4 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 73% |
| 4 Oct, 01:07 UTC | 71% |
| 3 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 72% |
| 3 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 71% |
| 3 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 73% |
| 3 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 72% |
| 3 Oct, 11:21 UTC | 73% |
| 3 Oct, 07:38 UTC | 71% |
| 3 Oct, 06:19 UTC | 73% |
| 3 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 72% |
| 2 Oct, 20:11 UTC | 73% |
| 2 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 71% |
| 2 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 73% |
| 2 Oct, 15:02 UTC | 72% |
| 1 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 73% |
| 1 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 72% |
| 1 Oct, 19:12 UTC | 73% |
| 1 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 71% |
| 1 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 74% |
| 1 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 73% |
| 1 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 74% |
| 1 Oct, 06:55 UTC | 73% |
| 1 Oct, 05:40 UTC | 74% |
| 1 Oct, 04:30 UTC | 73% |
| 1 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Sept, 23:32 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Sept, 16:09 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Sept, 08:35 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Sept, 07:22 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Sept, 04:55 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Sept, 03:34 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 74% |
| 29 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 72% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Democrat takes office as a U.S. Senator from Michigan for the term starting in 2027. It resolves to No if no Democrat holds that specific seat during that period. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Barack Obama for the actual event required for resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 74%
- No 26%