Horizon
Implied probability 1%−36
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves8 Oct 2026
Why it moved: −22 points at 22:55 UTC, after The Verge: Meta Connect 2026: The biggest news and announcements — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 24 Sept, 00:16 UTC | 6% |
| 23 Sept, 23:55 UTC | 22% |
| 23 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 26% |
| 23 Sept, 22:55 UTC | 22% |
| 22 Sept, 21:59 UTC | 44% |
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Mark Zuckerberg explicitly mentions the word "Horizon" during his keynote speech at Meta Connect 2026. It resolves to No if he does not say it in that specific presentation. Readers often mistake general discussions of Meta's future products for an explicit mention of the term "Horizon.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%