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$1.5000 - $1.7499

Implied probability 23%−4
24-hour volume$5
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves1 Jan 2027

Why it moved: −4 points at 18:54 UTC, after decrypt.co: Ripple-Backed Evernorth Hits Nasdaq Holding 473 Million XRP Worth Far Less Than It Paid — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · $1.5000 - $1.7499
0%50%100%23%11 Oct, 18:29 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now23%
12 Oct, 18:54 UTC23%
11 Oct, 18:29 UTC27%

Your call. How does this end?

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if the simple average of the CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI price during the sixty seconds before midnight EST on January 1, 2027, falls between $1.5000 and $1.7499. It resolves to No if that average is outside this range. Readers often mistake the resolution date for the news event date or confuse the specific CF Benchmarks source with other price feeds.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 23%
  • No 77%

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