Indiana wins by over 1.5 points
Why it moved: +50 points at 19:54 UTC, after SI Feed: WNBA Playoffs Resume: Fever, Lynx Look to Avoid Elimination — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 48% |
| 29 Sept, 20:42 UTC | 49% |
| 29 Sept, 20:26 UTC | 49% |
| 29 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 50% |
| 27 Sept, 22:58 UTC | 0% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
Indiana must win the Las Vegas versus Indiana women's pro basketball game by more than 1.5 points for the outcome to be Yes. The result depends on the final score of the game originally scheduled for September 29, 2026. Readers often mistake the linked WNBA story about the Aces and Fever as relevant, but only this specific Indiana game counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 48%
- No 52%