Las Vegas
Implied probability 48%−2
24-hour volume$68k
Total volume$89k
Liquidity$89k
Resolves1 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 48% |
| 29 Sept, 09:02 UTC | 48% |
| 29 Sept, 08:55 UTC | 47% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 48% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 50% |
| 28 Sept, 13:12 UTC | 51% |
| 28 Sept, 11:36 UTC | 51% |
| 28 Sept, 11:26 UTC | 50% |
| 28 Sept, 10:28 UTC | 51% |
| 28 Sept, 09:57 UTC | 50% |
| 28 Sept, 03:34 UTC | 51% |
| 28 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 49% |
| 28 Sept, 02:41 UTC | 50% |
| 28 Sept, 01:28 UTC | 51% |
| 28 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 50% |
| 28 Sept, 00:22 UTC | 51% |
| 26 Sept, 23:26 UTC | 51% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
Las Vegas must win the basketball game against Indiana that was originally scheduled for September 29, 2026, for the outcome to be Yes. The result depends on the official game score, not on any other related events or future matchups. Readers often mistake the original date for a deadline, but the market resolves based on who wins that specific scheduled contest.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 48%
- No 52%