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Indiana

Implied probability 38%−3
24-hour volume$34k
Total volume$43k
Liquidity$43k
Resolves29 Sept 2026

Why it moved: −4 points at 17:13 UTC, after feeds.bleacherreport.com: Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces WNBA Playoffs Live Updates, Highlights and Analysis for Game 1 — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Indiana
0%50%100%38%25 Sept, 19:44 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now38%
27 Sept, 18:06 UTC38%
27 Sept, 17:59 UTC38%
27 Sept, 17:13 UTC40%
25 Sept, 19:44 UTC43%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Indiana wins its playoff game against Las Vegas on September 27, 2026. It resolves to No if Indiana loses or does not win that specific matchup. Readers often mistake the date of the original schedule for a hard deadline rather than the condition for victory.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 38%
  • No 62%

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