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Golden State

Implied probability 58%−1
24-hour volume$60k
Total volume$63k
Liquidity$63k
Resolves22 Oct 2026

Why it moved: −3 points at 23:22 UTC, after www.espn.com: Williams' 26, late free throws lift Valkyries past Dream in G1 — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Golden State
0%50%100%58%16 Oct, 22:51 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now58%
18 Oct, 18:29 UTC58%
18 Oct, 17:52 UTC57%
18 Oct, 17:24 UTC57%
18 Oct, 16:45 UTC57%
18 Oct, 15:59 UTC58%
18 Oct, 15:29 UTC56%
18 Oct, 13:52 UTC57%
18 Oct, 12:28 UTC57%
18 Oct, 07:01 UTC58%
18 Oct, 05:56 UTC59%
18 Oct, 04:50 UTC59%
18 Oct, 03:57 UTC58%
18 Oct, 01:35 UTC59%
18 Oct, 01:23 UTC58%
17 Oct, 23:34 UTC56%
17 Oct, 23:22 UTC56%
16 Oct, 22:51 UTC59%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Golden State wins the specific women's professional basketball game against Atlanta scheduled for October 19, 2026. It resolves to No if Golden State does not win that exact game. Readers often mistake this outcome for any other Golden State victory or a different sport entirely.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 58%
  • No 42%

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