Angel Reese
The market favoured Yes at 95% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$76k
Liquidity$76k
Resolved1 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 18:28 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 94% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 96% |
| 28 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 97% |
| 28 Sept, 12:40 UTC | 96% |
| 28 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 94% |
| 28 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Sept, 04:21 UTC | 79% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Angel Reese wins the Women's Pro Basketball Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026 season. The outcome is No if she does not win that specific award in that year. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the award must be won before the news story is published rather than during the entire 2026 season.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%