Before Oct 1, 2026
Implied probability 10%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves1 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 26 Sept, 03:08 UTC | 10% |
| 25 Sept, 14:25 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Sept, 18:41 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Sept, 17:34 UTC | 11% |
| 24 Sept, 05:47 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Sept, 21:50 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Sept, 20:55 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 12% |
| 23 Sept, 14:40 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Sept, 09:28 UTC | 19% |
| 22 Sept, 09:18 UTC | 14% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if Trump publicly names at least one additional news outlet as being added to his White House ban before October 1, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistakenly believe that any mention of a news outlet by Trump counts, but only public naming of an additional outlet for the ban matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 10%
- No 90%