At least 5 weeks
Implied probability 98%+7
24-hour volume$702
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves26 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 98% |
| 13 Oct, 08:27 UTC | 98% |
| 13 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 97% |
| 12 Oct, 23:21 UTC | 96% |
| 12 Oct, 21:47 UTC | 95% |
| 12 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 91% |
| 12 Oct, 17:12 UTC | 95% |
| 11 Oct, 16:07 UTC | 81% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Taylor Swift holds the number one spot on the Billboard 200 chart for a total of at least five weeks during 2026. The outcome is No if she does not reach that threshold within that calendar year. Readers often mistake the current headline about her recent chart success as sufficient, but only weeks accumulated in 2026 count toward the resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 98%
- No 2%