Australia or New Zealand
Implied probability 13%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves1 Jan 2034
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 13% |
| 9 Oct, 08:50 UTC | 13% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if either Australia or New Zealand is officially named as a host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup by a Source Agency. It resolves to No if neither country receives that announcement. Readers often mistake the linked rugby match result for the resolution criteria, but only the FIFA World Cup hosting decision matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 13%
- No 87%