Above 50
Implied probability 5%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$112k
Liquidity$112k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 4 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Oct, 20:43 UTC | 9% |
| 29 Sept, 18:21 UTC | 5% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if more than 50 Senators vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if 50 or fewer Senators vote Yea by that date. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the legislative session rather than the specific calendar date of January 1, 2027.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%