At least 48%
Implied probability 93%−4
24-hour volume$1
Total volume$16k
Liquidity$16k
Resolves25 Oct 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 93% |
| 14 Oct, 17:10 UTC | 93% |
| 11 Oct, 15:40 UTC | 97% |
| 10 Oct, 03:05 UTC | 98% |
| 10 Oct, 00:39 UTC | 97% |
| 9 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 0% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Flávio Bolsonaro receives at least 48% of the certified popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election. The outcome depends entirely on the final official certification of the vote count, not on early polls or projections.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 93%
- No 7%