Micron
Implied probability 13%−1
24-hour volume$1
Total volume$28k
Liquidity$28k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 13% |
| 1 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 11:59 UTC | 14% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the US federal government acquires any ownership stake in Micron before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the earnings report date for the deadline, but only actual government ownership matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 13%
- No 87%