Bahujan Samaj Party
Implied probability 3%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves21 May 2028
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Bahujan Samaj Party wins the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election. It resolves to No if the party does not win that specific contest. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about the current electoral roll disputes mentioned in the linked story, but those events do not determine the outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%