Labour majority
Implied probability 11%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves1 Jan 2030
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 11% |
| 25 Sept, 20:39 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Sept, 16:00 UTC | 10% |
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Labour forms the next UK government with a majority of seats in the House of Commons before January 1, 2030. The outcome is No if this does not happen within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the deadline for the date of the election rather than the final resolution cutoff.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 11%
- No 89%