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Alexander Volkanovski

Implied probability 46%−3
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$35k
Liquidity$35k
Resolves31 Dec 2026

Why it moved: −3 points at 16:14 UTC, after www.espn.com: UFC champ Volkanovski proposes 'send off' superbout vs. Gaethje — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Alexander Volkanovski
0%50%100%46%14 Oct, 15:26 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now46%
15 Oct, 16:14 UTC46%
14 Oct, 15:26 UTC49%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Alexander Volkanovski holds the UFC Featherweight Title on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. It resolves to No if he does not hold the title at that specific moment. Readers often mistake the date of a proposed fight for the actual deadline for holding the championship.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 46%
  • No 54%

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