Over 3.5 goals scored
Implied probability 1%−50
24-hour volume$265k
Total volume$276k
Liquidity$276k
Resolves8 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 53% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 54% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 51% |
| 6 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 52% |
| 6 Oct, 11:13 UTC | 51% |
| 6 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 52% |
| 6 Oct, 05:41 UTC | 52% |
| 6 Oct, 05:08 UTC | 51% |
| 6 Oct, 02:36 UTC | 52% |
| 6 Oct, 00:50 UTC | 51% |
| 5 Oct, 21:05 UTC | 52% |
| 5 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 51% |
| 5 Oct, 14:31 UTC | 48% |
| 5 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 49% |
| 4 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 48% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if more than three goals are scored in the England vs Czechia match during regular play, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties. The total goal count must exceed 3.5 for a Yes outcome. Readers often mistake the linked England vs Croatia result as relevant, but only the England vs Czechia game counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%