Croatia
Implied probability 6%−1
24-hour volume$92k
Total volume$100k
Liquidity$100k
Resolves1 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 28 Sept, 12:40 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Sept, 11:17 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Sept, 23:26 UTC | 7% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Croatia wins the UEFA Nations League match against Spain within the standard 90 minutes of play, including stoppage time. It resolves to No if Spain wins or if the game ends in a draw after that period. Readers often mistakenly believe that extra time or penalty shootouts count toward the resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 94%