Ireland
Implied probability 38%+3
24-hour volume$124k
Total volume$133k
Liquidity$133k
Resolves29 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 38% |
| 27 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 36% |
| 27 Sept, 14:10 UTC | 36% |
| 27 Sept, 11:40 UTC | 36% |
| 27 Sept, 07:48 UTC | 36% |
| 27 Sept, 05:23 UTC | 36% |
| 27 Sept, 04:18 UTC | 36% |
| 27 Sept, 02:30 UTC | 37% |
| 27 Sept, 02:14 UTC | 36% |
| 26 Sept, 23:09 UTC | 37% |
| 26 Sept, 21:41 UTC | 35% |
| 26 Sept, 20:36 UTC | 34% |
| 26 Sept, 18:59 UTC | 35% |
| 26 Sept, 15:48 UTC | 34% |
| 26 Sept, 14:37 UTC | 33% |
| 26 Sept, 14:01 UTC | 32% |
| 26 Sept, 13:06 UTC | 33% |
| 26 Sept, 12:58 UTC | 32% |
| 26 Sept, 12:22 UTC | 33% |
| 25 Sept, 11:59 UTC | 41% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Ireland wins the UEFA Nations League match against Israel within the standard 90 minutes of play, including stoppage time. The outcome depends solely on the final score at that point, ignoring any extra time or penalty shootouts. Readers often mistake the resolution for requiring a win after extra time or penalties.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 38%
- No 62%