Kosovo
Implied probability 37%−7
24-hour volume$118k
Total volume$143k
Liquidity$143k
Resolves3 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 37% |
| 1 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 37% |
| 1 Oct, 17:07 UTC | 41% |
| 1 Oct, 16:52 UTC | 40% |
| 1 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 42% |
| 1 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 41% |
| 1 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 42% |
| 1 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 41% |
| 1 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 43% |
| 1 Oct, 06:08 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Oct, 01:12 UTC | 44% |
| 30 Sept, 22:44 UTC | 44% |
| 30 Sept, 22:21 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 44% |
| 30 Sept, 08:43 UTC | 44% |
| 30 Sept, 06:41 UTC | 44% |
| 30 Sept, 06:13 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Sept, 02:59 UTC | 44% |
| 29 Sept, 12:33 UTC | 44% |
| 29 Sept, 10:45 UTC | 43% |
| 28 Sept, 10:33 UTC | 40% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Kosovo wins the UEFA Nations League match against Israel within the standard 90 minutes of play, including stoppage time. The outcome does not depend on extra time or penalty shootouts. Readers often mistakenly believe that a draw or a win in extra time counts as a resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 37%
- No 63%