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Portugal

Implied probability 48%+1
24-hour volume$252k
Total volume$277k
Liquidity$277k
Resolves3 Oct 2026

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Portugal wins the UEFA Nations League match against Denmark within the standard 90 minutes of play, including stoppage time. It resolves to No if the game ends in a draw or if Denmark wins during that same period. Readers often mistakenly believe that extra time or penalty shootouts determine the outcome, but these are explicitly excluded from the resolution.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 48%
  • No 52%

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