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Arsenal

Implied probability 37%+7
24-hour volume$851
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves23 Oct 2026

Why it moved: +11 points at 23:25 UTC, after www.espn.com: Arsenal showed strength in depth in Lille win, but Gyökeres is a concern — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Arsenal
0%50%100%37%12 Oct, 23:15 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now37%
14 Oct, 01:15 UTC37%
14 Oct, 00:14 UTC40%
13 Oct, 23:25 UTC39%
12 Oct, 23:15 UTC28%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the Champions League match against Bayern Munich within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The outcome depends strictly on the result after this period, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 37%
  • No 63%

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