Above 50 million
The market favoured Yes at 68% a day out, but No won. How often it's right
Final probability 5%
24-hour volume$484
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolved12 Feb 2027
Why it moved: −64 points at 14:05 UTC, after Quartz: United Airlines is opening a 54,000-square-foot club in Houston, its largest lounge — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 14:05 UTC | 5% |
| 19 Oct, 20:43 UTC | 69% |
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%