New Hampshire
Why it moved: +44 points at 11:45 UTC, after The Hill: What to know about Trump’s deep red campaign blitz — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 43% |
| 1 Oct, 12:38 UTC | 43% |
| 1 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 44% |
| 30 Sept, 11:33 UTC | 0% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump physically travels to and stays within New Hampshire between October 1, 2026, and November 1, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not meet this specific location and time requirement. Readers often mistake the linked story in Oklahoma for a visit to New Hampshire.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 43%
- No 57%