JPMorgan / JPM
Implied probability 3%−1
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves1 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 16:36 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 13:48 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 03:42 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Sept, 00:10 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Sept, 20:34 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 12% |
| 29 Sept, 16:39 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 15:48 UTC | 9% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump explicitly mentions JPMorgan or its variations before October 1, 2026, at 12:00am ET. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the source of truth, thinking any news report about JPMorgan counts, but only statements by Donald Trump matter.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%