DoorDash / DASH
The market favoured Yes at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$37k
Total volume$257k
Liquidity$257k
Resolved1 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 99% |
| 29 Sept, 14:36 UTC | 98% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 99% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 88% |
| 28 Sept, 12:40 UTC | 76% |
| 28 Sept, 11:17 UTC | 94% |
| 28 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 96% |
| 28 Sept, 06:24 UTC | 97% |
| 28 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 95% |
| 28 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Sept, 02:08 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 95% |
| 27 Sept, 23:37 UTC | 91% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 89% |
| 27 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 95% |
| 27 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 90% |
| 27 Sept, 18:44 UTC | 91% |
| 27 Sept, 17:31 UTC | 87% |
| 27 Sept, 15:03 UTC | 81% |
| 26 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 87% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 86% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 88% |
| 26 Sept, 13:50 UTC | 92% |
| 26 Sept, 12:13 UTC | 89% |
| 26 Sept, 10:50 UTC | 88% |
| 26 Sept, 09:24 UTC | 89% |
| 26 Sept, 08:02 UTC | 92% |
| 26 Sept, 06:00 UTC | 91% |
| 26 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 99% |
| 26 Sept, 03:08 UTC | 96% |
| 26 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 89% |
| 25 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 90% |
| 25 Sept, 20:11 UTC | 93% |
| 25 Sept, 19:03 UTC | 91% |
| 25 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 99% |
| 25 Sept, 16:37 UTC | 85% |
| 24 Sept, 16:26 UTC | 97% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump mentions DoorDash or DASH before October 1, 2026, at 12:00 am ET. The outcome is No if he does not mention it by that deadline. Readers often mistake the source of truth, assuming any news report counts instead of only Trump's own statements.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%