Boeing
Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$61k
Liquidity$61k
Resolves1 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 27 Sept, 19:04 UTC | 99% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump explicitly states that Boeing won the $20B Pentagon contract before October 1, 2026, at 12:00am ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the actual news event for the resolution condition, but only Trump's specific statement counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%