Microsoft / MSFT
Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump mentions Microsoft or MSFT between October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET and November 1, 2026, at 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often get wrong the specific time window for Trump's statement. They might think any mention of Microsoft counts, but it must be after October 1, 2026, and before November 1, 2026.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%