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Make Iran Great Again

Implied probability 4%−2
24-hour volume$850
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves28 Sept 2026
How the odds moved · Make Iran Great Again
0%50%100%4%22 Sept, 07:59 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now4%
23 Sept, 08:53 UTC4%
22 Sept, 07:59 UTC6%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump states "Make Iran Great Again" or a grammatical variation of that phrase between September 21, 2026 at 9:00am ET and September 28, 2026 at 12:00am ET. The outcome is No if he does not make this specific statement within that exact window. Readers often mistake the linked OECD news story for a trigger or assume any similar slogan counts as a valid statement.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 4%
  • No 96%

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