Above 30
Implied probability 91%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves3 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 91% |
| 15 Oct, 11:13 UTC | 91% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump holds more than 30 rallies between January 1 and November 3, 2026. The outcome is No if he holds 30 or fewer rallies during that period. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it ends on Election Day in November 2024 instead of November 3, 2026.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 91%
- No 9%