Pete Rose
Implied probability 29%+1
24-hour volume$201
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves21 Jan 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 29% |
| 26 Sept, 16:48 UTC | 29% |
| 25 Sept, 21:34 UTC | 28% |
| 22 Sept, 18:06 UTC | 22% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Pete Rose receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump during his second term and before January 21, 2029. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it applies to any time in Trump's presidency rather than specifically before January 21, 2029.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 29%
- No 71%